The last major El Niño (2016) made that year the hottest on record—until now.
Ocean surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific have already risen 1.5°C above normal, triggering the El Niño declaration.
Climate models predict a 90% chance El Niño persists through early 2024, peaking in December.
Food prices, wildfire risks, and coastal flooding could all spike as the phenomenon intensifies.
Every major El Niño since 1950 has set a new global temperature record—and 2024 is projected to follow suit.